Braxton Smith vs Parker Porter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
262 lbsWeight256 lbs
Black Sheep BoxingTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Parker Porter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Braxton Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1566
If they lose-22→ 1518
If they win+14→ 1590
If they lose-18→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Braxton SmithParker Porter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Braxton Smith54%
Parker Porter 46%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Braxton Smith a 54% favorite over Parker Porter in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Parker Porter's way (45%).
Parker Porter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1576 to 1540, a 36-point edge.
Braxton Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Braxton Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Parker Porter 69%.
Braxton Smith and Parker Porter share 1 common opponent: Chase Sherman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.