Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record32-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Curtis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803
If they win+15→ 1734
If they lose-9→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenChris Curtis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen86%
Chris Curtis 14%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 86% favorite over Chris Curtis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1719, a 99-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Chris Curtis 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.