Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Dricus Du Plessis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach76″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brendan Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan AllenNow 1818
If they win+13→ 1831
If they lose-11→ 1807
Dricus Du PlessisNow 1853
If they win+11→ 1864
If they lose-13→ 1840

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1779 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
5.18
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
48%
Strike defense
53%
1.52
Takedown avg.
2.22
4%
Takedown accuracy
5%
58%
Takedown defense
35%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Brendan AllenDricus Du Plessis
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
14 (52%)
Submission
11 (46%)
7 (26%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendan Allen and Dricus Du Plessis within a point of even.

Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1818, a 35-point edge.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Dricus Du Plessis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.