Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Edmen Shahbazyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan AllenNow 1818
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803
Edmen ShahbazyanNow 1716
If they win+21→ 1737
If they lose-11→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
48%
Strike defense
49%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.62
4%
Takedown accuracy
38%
58%
Takedown defense
66%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Brendan AllenEdmen Shahbazyan
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
14 (52%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (26%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Allen67%
Edmen Shahbazyan 33%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 67% favorite over Edmen Shahbazyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1716, a 102-point edge.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 88%.

Brendan Allen and Edmen Shahbazyan share 3 common opponents: Anthony Hernandez, Nassourdine Imavov and André Muniz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinSubmission · 2023
André Muniz
WinTKO · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Anthony Hernandez
LossKO/TKO · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Nassourdine Imavov
LossTKO · 2021