Brendan Allen vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record21-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1830
If they lose-12→ 1806
If they win+12→ 1822
If they lose-12→ 1798
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen66%
Kamaru Usman 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 66% favorite over Kamaru Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1818 vs 1810), separated by just 8 points.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.