Brendan Allen vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record29-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kevin Holland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803
If they win+15→ 1751
If they lose-9→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen77%
Kevin Holland 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 77% favorite over Kevin Holland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1736, a 82-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Brendan Allen and Kevin Holland share 1 common opponent: Reinier de Ridder.
Kevin Holland carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.