Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Khamzat Chimaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAllstars Training Center· 1677 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendan AllenNow 1818
If they win+12→ 1830
If they lose-12→ 1806
Khamzat ChimaevNow 1827
If they win+16→ 1843
If they lose-16→ 1811

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
52%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
48%
Strike defense
52%
1.52
Takedown avg.
5.32
4%
Takedown accuracy
58%
58%
Takedown defense
88%
1.06
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Brendan AllenKhamzat Chimaev
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
14 (52%)
Submission
6 (40%)
7 (26%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendan Allen and Khamzat Chimaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1818 vs 1827), separated by just 9 points.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.