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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Kyle Daukaus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
us

Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMartinez BJJ

What's at stake

Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kyle Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan AllenNow 1831
If they win+8→ 1839
If they lose-16→ 1815
Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+21→ 1737
If they lose-11→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.32
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
48%
Strike defense
43%
1.52
Takedown avg.
2.08
4%
Takedown accuracy
26%
58%
Takedown defense
83%
1.06
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Brendan AllenKyle Daukaus
16501700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
14 (52%)
Submission
12 (71%)
7 (26%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Allen92%
Kyle Daukaus 8%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 92% favorite over Kyle Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1831 to 1716, a 115-point edge.

Brendan Allen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.