Brendan Allen vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMartinez BJJ
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kyle Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803
If they win+21→ 1737
If they lose-11→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen76%
Kyle Daukaus 24%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 76% favorite over Kyle Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1716, a 102-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.