Brendan Allen vs Reinier de Ridder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record21-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCombat Brothers
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Reinier de Ridder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1828
If they lose-14→ 1804
If they win+19→ 1765
If they lose-13→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenReinier de Ridder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen76%
Reinier de Ridder 24%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 76% favorite over Reinier de Ridder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1746, a 72-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Reinier de Ridder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.
Reinier de Ridder carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.