Brendan O'Reilly vs Dong Hyun Ma
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record16-11-3
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69,0"Reach70.50
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gamebred Submission FightingTeamBusan Team MAD
What's at stake
Dong Hyun Ma is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brendan O'Reilly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1547
If they lose-12→ 1515
If they win+9→ 1624
If they lose-15→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan O'ReillyDong Hyun Ma
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dong Hyun Ma77%
Brendan O'Reilly 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 77% favorite over Brendan O'Reilly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Dong Hyun Ma holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1527, a 88-point edge.
Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brendan O'Reilly finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.
Dong Hyun Ma carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.