Brendan O'Reilly vs Vik Grujic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record6-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gamebred Submission FightingTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Brendan O'Reilly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Vik Grujic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1541
If they lose-18→ 1509
If they win+18→ 1492
If they lose-14→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan O'ReillyVik Grujic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan O'Reilly76%
Vik Grujic 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan O'Reilly a 76% favorite over Vik Grujic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Brendan O'Reilly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1527 to 1474, a 53-point edge.
Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vik Grujic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brendan O'Reilly finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vik Grujic 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.