Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan O'Reilly vs Yusuke Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
69,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gamebred Submission FightingTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendan O'ReillyNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Yusuke SatoNow 1527
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
2.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
36%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.63
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brendan O'ReillyYusuke Sato
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusuke Sato60%
Brendan O'Reilly 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusuke Sato a 60% favorite over Brendan O'Reilly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan O'Reilly's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1527), separated by just 0 points.

Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brendan O'Reilly finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.