Brendan Schaub vs Chase Gormley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record14-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
238 lbsWeight264 lbs
Reign MMATeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Brendan Schaub is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chase Gormley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-22→ 1659
If they win+22→ 1578
If they lose-10→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan SchaubChase Gormley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Schaub68%
Chase Gormley 32%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Schaub a 68% favorite over Chase Gormley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Brendan Schaub holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1556, a 125-point edge.
Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brendan Schaub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chase Gormley 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.