Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Schaub vs Chris Tuchscherer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record21-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
238 lbsWeight260 lbs
Reign MMATeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

Brendan Schaub is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Tuchscherer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan SchaubNow 1682
If they win+15→ 1697
If they lose-17→ 1665
Chris TuchschererNow 1651
If they win+17→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
38%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
57%
Strike defense
47%
2.32
Takedown avg.
1.19
46%
Takedown accuracy
18%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Brendan SchaubChris Tuchscherer
165017001750200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
12 (57%)
1 (10%)
Submission
4 (19%)
2 (20%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Schaub75%
Chris Tuchscherer 25%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Schaub a 75% favorite over Chris Tuchscherer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Brendan Schaub holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1651, a 31-point edge.

Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Tuchscherer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brendan Schaub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Tuchscherer 76%.

Brendan Schaub and Chris Tuchscherer share 1 common opponent: Gabriel Gonzaga.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2010
Gabriel Gonzaga
LossKO/TKO · 2009