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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Schaub vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
238 lbsWeight264 lbs
Reign MMATeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendan SchaubNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
2.32
Takedown avg.
Not available
46%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
73%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.39
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brendan SchaubRenan Ferreira
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira58%
Brendan Schaub 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 58% favorite over Brendan Schaub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan Schaub's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1673), separated by just 8 points.

Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendan Schaub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.