Brendan Schaub vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
238 lbsWeight264 lbs
Reign MMATeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan SchaubRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira53%
Brendan Schaub 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 53% favorite over Brendan Schaub in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan Schaub's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1673), separated by just 9 points.
Brendan Schaub enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brendan Schaub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.