Brendan Seguin vs Fraser Paterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Fraser Paterson
Elo1564SolidTale of the tape
23-19-1Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Eastside Combat ClubTeamGriphouse
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan SeguinFraser Paterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fraser Paterson84%
Brendan Seguin 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 84% favorite over Brendan Seguin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan Seguin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1564), separated by just 1 points.
Brendan Seguin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brendan Seguin finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.