Brendan Seguin vs Jhony Gregory
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-19-1Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Eastside Combat ClubTeamDaniel Oliveira Methodology
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan SeguinJhony Gregory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhony Gregory70%
Brendan Seguin 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhony Gregory a 70% favorite over Brendan Seguin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendan Seguin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1562), separated by just 3 points.
Brendan Seguin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brendan Seguin finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jhony Gregory 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.