Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Ce Liu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ce Liu
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Ce Liu

3-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
81"Reach77.6"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCFP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Ce LiuNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroCe Liu
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendson Ribeiro and Ce Liu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1549), separated by just 4 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ce Liu 100%.

Brendson Ribeiro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.