Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Jeff Newton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTodd Medina Freestyle Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-17→ 1536
Jeff NewtonNow 1542
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-23→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
0.28
43%
Strike accuracy
20%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.41
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
0%
0.57
Submission avg.
8.47

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroJeff Newton
15001550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brendson Ribeiro and Jeff Newton within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1542), separated by just 11 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Newton 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.