Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record12-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
53%
Strike defense
60%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.89
43%
Takedown accuracy
50%
21%
Takedown defense
20%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroMaurice Smith
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendson Ribeiro51%
Maurice Smith 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 51% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1545), separated by just 8 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.