Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Norbert Pietrzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPro-Core HQ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Norbert PietrzakNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
21%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroNorbert Pietrzak
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Pietrzak51%
Brendson Ribeiro 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 51% favorite over Brendson Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brendson Ribeiro's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1553), separated by just 0 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.