Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Vinny Magalhaes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record19-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Vinny MagalhaesNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
43%
Strike accuracy
24%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
53%
Strike defense
68%
0.85
Takedown avg.
1.55
43%
Takedown accuracy
44%
21%
Takedown defense
67%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroVinny Magalhaes
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
7 (41%)
Submission
15 (79%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendson Ribeiro60%
Vinny Magalhaes 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 60% favorite over Vinny Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinny Magalhaes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1556), separated by just 3 points.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Vinny Magalhaes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Vinny Magalhaes 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.