Combat Edge Intelligence

Brent Primus vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record24-15-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brent PrimusNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
32%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Brent PrimusEdson Barboza
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
8 (57%)
Submission
1 (4%)
4 (29%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza60%
Brent Primus 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 60% favorite over Brent Primus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1669), separated by just 3 points.

Brent Primus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.