Combat Edge Intelligence

Brent Primus vs John Alessio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Alessio
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John Alessio

“The Natural”

35-17-0LightweightBFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record35-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brent PrimusNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
John AlessioNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.10
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Brent PrimusJohn Alessio
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
10 (30%)
8 (57%)
Submission
15 (45%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Brent Primus72%
John Alessio 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brent Primus a 72% favorite over John Alessio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

Brent Primus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Alessio 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.