Combat Edge Intelligence

Brent Primus vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brent PrimusNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Scott HoltzmanNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Brent PrimusScott Holtzman
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (57%)
Submission
2 (14%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Brent Primus63%
Scott Holtzman 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brent Primus a 63% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Brent Primus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.