Brent Primus vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brent PrimusTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brent Primus54%
Trey Ogden 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brent Primus a 54% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Brent Primus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brent Primus finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.