Bret Bergmark vs Chris Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-1Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74.00"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bret BergmarkChris Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Brown60%
Bret Bergmark 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Brown a 60% favorite over Bret Bergmark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bret Bergmark's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.
Bret Bergmark enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Brown enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bret Bergmark finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Chris Brown 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.