Bret Bergmark vs Lucas Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-1Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bret BergmarkLucas Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Silva52%
Bret Bergmark 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Silva a 52% favorite over Bret Bergmark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bret Bergmark's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Bret Bergmark enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lucas Silva enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Bret Bergmark finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.