Brett Bye vs Nathan Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record17-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
If they win+12→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brett ByeNathan Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brett Bye and Nathan Jones within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1530), separated by just 1 points.
Nathan Jones 82%.
Nathan Jones carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.