Combat Edge Intelligence

Brett Johns vs Cameron Smotherman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brett Johns
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Brett Johns

“The Pikey”

20-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
39.00Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamMetro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brett JohnsNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Cameron SmothermanNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
49%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
53%
Strike defense
59%
4.92
Takedown avg.
0
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
63%
1.02
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brett JohnsCameron Smotherman
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
6 (30%)
Submission
1 (8%)
10 (50%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Smotherman62%
Brett Johns 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 62% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brett Johns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1602), separated by just 2 points.

Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Smotherman 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.