Brett Johns vs Joe Soto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
39.00Reach65,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamCentral Valley Combat Academy
What's at stake
Joe Soto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1590
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brett JohnsJoe Soto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Soto70%
Brett Johns 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Soto a 70% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joe Soto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1603, a 61-point edge.
Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joe Soto 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.