Combat Edge Intelligence

Brett Johns vs Kwan Ho Kwak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brett Johns

Brett Johns

“The Pikey”

20-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
39.00Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamKorean Top Team

What's at stake

Kwan Ho Kwak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brett JohnsNow 1603
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589
Kwan Ho KwakNow 1655
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-18→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
53%
Strike defense
48%
4.92
Takedown avg.
0.78
49%
Takedown accuracy
100%
58%
Takedown defense
27%
1.02
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brett JohnsKwan Ho Kwak
1600165017002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
6 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kwan Ho Kwak67%
Brett Johns 33%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Kwan Ho Kwak a 67% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Kwan Ho Kwak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1603, a 52-point edge.

Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kwan Ho Kwak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kwan Ho Kwak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.