Combat Edge Intelligence

Brett Johns vs Montel Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brett Johns

Brett Johns

“The Pikey”

20-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
39.00Reach75″
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamRed Schafer MMA

What's at stake

Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brett JohnsNow 1603
If they win+22→ 1625
If they lose-10→ 1593
Montel JacksonNow 1744
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-22→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
53%
Strike defense
61%
4.92
Takedown avg.
3
49%
Takedown accuracy
64%
58%
Takedown defense
68%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Brett JohnsMontel Jackson
160016501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
6 (30%)
Submission
1 (7%)
10 (50%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Montel Jackson87%
Brett Johns 13%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 87% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1603, a 141-point edge.

Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.