Brett Johns vs Montel Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record16-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
39.00Reach75″
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamRed Schafer MMA
What's at stake
Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1650
If they lose-10→ 1618
If they win+10→ 1773
If they lose-22→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brett JohnsMontel Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montel Jackson79%
Brett Johns 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 79% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1628, a 135-point edge.
Brett Johns enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.