Brett Johns vs Pedro Munhoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record20-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
39.00Reach65"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chris Rees AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Pedro Munhoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1591
If they win+9→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brett JohnsPedro Munhoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Munhoz59%
Brett Johns 41%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 59% favorite over Brett Johns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Pedro Munhoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1603, a 80-point edge.
Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brett Johns finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.
Brett Johns and Pedro Munhoz share 1 common opponent: Aljamain Sterling.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.