Brett Rogers vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
262 lbsWeight253 lbs
TeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brett RogersLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira57%
Brett Rogers 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 57% favorite over Brett Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brett Rogers's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1569), separated by just 3 points.
Brett Rogers finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.
Brett Rogers and Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira share 2 common opponents: Phil De Fries and Philip De Fries.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.