Combat Edge Intelligence

Brett Rogers vs Michal Martínek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record13-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach80"
262 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamReinders MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brett RogersNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Michal MartínekNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brett RogersMichal Martínek
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (88%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (12%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Michal Martínek70%
Brett Rogers 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michal Martínek a 70% favorite over Brett Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brett Rogers's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Brett Rogers finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michal Martínek 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.