Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Bowles vs Herbeth Sousa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record20-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian BowlesNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Herbeth SousaNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
1.39
Takedown avg.
TBD
70%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.39
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian BowlesHerbeth Sousa
165017001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
6 (60%)
Submission
14 (70%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Herbeth Sousa70%
Brian Bowles 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herbeth Sousa a 70% favorite over Brian Bowles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Bowles's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Brian Bowles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Brian Bowles finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Herbeth Sousa 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.