Brian Bowles vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
Brian Bowles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Takeya Mizugaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1696
If they lose-19→ 1664
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-9→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian BowlesTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Bowles60%
Takeya Mizugaki 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Bowles a 60% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Brian Bowles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1608, a 75-point edge.
Brian Bowles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Bowles finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Brian Bowles and Takeya Mizugaki share 2 common opponents: George Roop and Dominick Cruz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.