Brian Camozzi vs Geoff Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record16-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
41,5"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Geoff Neal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brian Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1554
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-22→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian CamozziGeoff Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal78%
Brian Camozzi 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 78% favorite over Brian Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Geoff Neal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1564, a 128-point edge.
Brian Camozzi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Camozzi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Neal 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.