Brian Cobb vs Morquez Forest
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Pain and SufferingTeamTop Brother
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian CobbMorquez Forest
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morquez Forest88%
Brian Cobb 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morquez Forest a 88% favorite over Brian Cobb in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Cobb enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Cobb finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.