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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Ebersole vs Claude Patrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

51-18-1Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamElite Mixed Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian EbersoleNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Claude PatrickNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
50%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.89
56%
Strike defense
70%
1.70
Takedown avg.
2.32
23%
Takedown accuracy
53%
62%
Takedown defense
84%
0.13
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Brian EbersoleClaude Patrick
165017002010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

17 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
17 (33%)
Submission
9 (64%)
17 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Ebersole63%
Claude Patrick 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Ebersole a 63% favorite over Claude Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Claude Patrick's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1689), separated by just 8 points.

Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Claude Patrick 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.