Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Ebersole vs Claude Patrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

51-18-1Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamElite Mixed Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian EbersoleNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Claude PatrickNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
50%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.89
56%
Strike defense
70%
1.70
Takedown avg.
2.32
23%
Takedown accuracy
53%
62%
Takedown defense
84%
0.13
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Brian EbersoleClaude Patrick
165017002010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

17 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
17 (33%)
Submission
9 (64%)
17 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Claude Patrick60%
Brian Ebersole 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Claude Patrick a 60% favorite over Brian Ebersole in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1689), separated by just 6 points.

Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Claude Patrick 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.