Brian Ebersole vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
51-18-1Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian EbersoleJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani71%
Brian Ebersole 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 71% favorite over Brian Ebersole in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Ebersole's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.
Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.