Brian Ebersole vs John Howard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
51-18-1Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamWai Kru MMA
What's at stake
Brian Ebersole is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1668
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-9→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian EbersoleJohn Howard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Ebersole60%
John Howard 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Ebersole a 60% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Brian Ebersole holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1607, a 76-point edge.
Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.