Brian Ebersole vs Max Coga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
51-18-1Record28-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTeam MMA Spirit· 1651 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian EbersoleMax Coga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Ebersole55%
Max Coga 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Ebersole a 55% favorite over Max Coga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Max Coga's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Max Coga enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Max Coga 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.