Brian Ebersole vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
51-18-1Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian EbersoleTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller71%
Brian Ebersole 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 71% favorite over Brian Ebersole in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Ebersole's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Ebersole enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Brian Ebersole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.