Brian Foster vs Brock Larson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record42-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamGet Sum Athletic Compound
What's at stake
Brock Larson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Brian Foster carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-8→ 1625
If they win+8→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian FosterBrock Larson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brian Foster and Brock Larson within a point of even.
Brock Larson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1633, a 110-point edge.
Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Brock Larson 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.