Brian Foster vs Forrest Petz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record26-10-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Forrest Petz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Foster carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1622
If they win+11→ 1661
If they lose-13→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian FosterForrest Petz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Petz56%
Brian Foster 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Petz a 56% favorite over Brian Foster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Forrest Petz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1633, a 17-point edge.
Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Petz 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.