Brian Foster vs Jose Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-13-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamNova Uniao MPBJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian FosterJose Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Foster53%
Jose Souza 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Foster a 53% favorite over Jose Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Jose Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Jose Souza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.