Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Foster vs Oban Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oban Elliott
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Oban Elliott

“The Welsh Gangster”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamShore MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian FosterNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Oban ElliottNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
65%
Strike defense
61%
3.67
Takedown avg.
1.52
60%
Takedown accuracy
15%
38%
Takedown defense
52%
1.83
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian FosterOban Elliott
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
14 (47%)
Submission
3 (25%)
1 (3%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Oban Elliott60%
Brian Foster 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 60% favorite over Brian Foster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.

Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.