Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Foster vs Subaru Mori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-13-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian FosterNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Subaru MoriNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
3.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
60%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.83
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian FosterSubaru Mori
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

15 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
14 (47%)
Submission
3 (50%)
1 (3%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Subaru Mori70%
Brian Foster 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Subaru Mori a 70% favorite over Brian Foster in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Foster's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Brian Foster finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.